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Pollin & Heintz: Excessive speculation is driving up gas prices

James Heintz and Robert Pollin

In their paper How Wall Street Speculation is Driving Up Gasoline Prices Today Robert Pollin, UMass Amherst economics professor and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI) and James Heintz, associate director and associate research professor of PERI, show that a major factor contributing to the recent run up in gasoline prices at the pump is large-scale speculative trading in crude oil in the commodities futures market. They estimate that, for the month of May, the rise in speculative trading on oil has led to an 83-cent-per-gallon premium on gas prices at the pump. Pollin and Heintz emphasize that the federal government, and specifically the Commodities Futures Trading Commission, has the authority to control excessive speculation on oil through provisions in the Dodd-Frank Financial Reform Act, and must now exercise that authority. Their paper is the focus of a New York Times Dealbook article on high gas prices.

Download How Wall Street Speculation is Driving Up Gasoline Prices Today by Robert Pollin and James Heintz

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Pollin: Health care costs at heart of long-term debt problem

Robert Pollin

Robert Pollin, UMass Amherst economics professor and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, says controlling health care costs is at the heart of the nation’s long-term debt problem. Pollin suggests that it is possible to adopt a universal health care plan that could reduce per person expenditures, citing other advanced economies as examples. “What we really want is universal health care…for everybody, and to do it in a way where the costs are at least more or less in line with other advanced economies. Right now, the United States spends, on average, about twice as much per person as do other advanced economies, like Canada, like France, like the United Kingdom. And that’s not due to Medicare. In fact, Medicare is actually a relatively cheap way to deliver decent health care. The problem is the private insurance companies and the private pharmaceutical companies. And that’s what needs to be controlled to get long-term health care costs down. (Real News Network, 6/16/11)

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Pollin discusses “green jobs” on NPR

Robert Pollin

Robert Pollin, UMass Amherst economics professor and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, was featured in the story, Is Obama’s Bet On Green Jobs Risky? on 90.9 wbur, Boston’s NPR news station. The story notes that clean energy projects as a whole have received approximately $95 billion in funding and questions whether this is a risky investment. While there is uncertainty as to what the next big economic growth sector will be, there is reason to be optimistic about investing in clean energy. According to Pollin, who was hired by the Commerce Department to run the numbers, the government’s stimulus program on green activities yields approximately 17 jobs per $1 million of expenditure. This compares favorably to military spending which creates about 11 jobs per $1 million and to the oil and gas industry which produces about 5 jobs per $1 million of expenditure. Pollin notes that the payoff is higher because kick-starting a new industry requires more manpower. “There’s way more jobs in clean energy because essentially there’s a lot more construction jobs, there’s a lot more manufacturing jobs, there’s a lot more transportation jobs,” he said. “So it’s really the process of building the new industry that makes it a good generator of jobs.” (NPR, June 13, 2011)

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Pollin participates in UMass Amherst/Boston Globe public policy forum

Robert Pollin & Jeffrey Thompson (photo by Jim Davis, Globe Staff)

UMass Amherst and the Boston Globe launched a new public policy series titled, “Recession & Recovery: A Forum on Smart Policies for Sustainable Growth,” on Monday, March 28 at the John F. Kennedy Presidential Library in Boston. Panelists included Robert Pollin, UMass Amherst economics professor and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, Jeffrey Thompson of the Political Economy Research Institute, Lisa M. Lynch, dean and Maurice B. Hexter professor of Economic Policy at the Heller School for Social Policy and Management at Brandeis University and Eric Rosengren, president and CEO at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.

Rosengren says rising food and energy prices, caused by turmoil in the Middle East and increased prices in wheat due to poor harvests in Russia and Australia, could weaken the national economy. Pollin takes this further asserting that gas prices have soared because of a speculative bubble, noting that the commodities market is still unregulated. All four panelists agreed that unemployment, with rates still near 9% nationally, is the fundamental issue facing the economy, more so than the deficit. Rosengren feels that the deficit should be addressed long-term, “when we get closer to full-employment.” (Globe, 3/29/11; iMarketNews.com, Reuters, 3/28/11)

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Pollin discusses State of the Union address on The Real News Network

Prof. Robert PollinRobert Pollin, UMass Amherst economics professor and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute (PERI), and Bill Fletcher, executive editor of The Black Commentator, analyze President Obama’s State of the Union address in a a recent interview on The Real News Network.

Pollin, a consultant to the Department of Energy, was pleased with the emphasis that President Obama put on research, information technology, and especially clean energy technology.  While he wasn’t completely specific on how these investments would be funded, the President did mention eliminating “the billions in taxpayer dollars we currently give to oil companies.”

Both Pollin and Fletcher agree, however, that the President’s speech was vague on many points and also too optimistic with regard to the economy.  In particular, they are both concerned with the extreme measures that states are considering due to severe budget shortfalls.  The measures, which include declaring bankruptcy and breaking pension fund obligations, were not mentioned in the State of the Union. 

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Washington Post blogger supports Pollin’s “Plan B for Economic Recovery”

Robert Pollin

A recent proposal by Robert Pollin, economics and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, calls for having the federal government create strong incentives for both lending by banks to small business and for businesses to seek loans. He says currently the private credit markets are locked up, especially for small businesses. Pollin’s proposal uses federal loan guarantees to boost bank lending and a tax on excess reserves held by banks. (Washington Post, 9/28/10)

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Pollin: Austerity is Not a Solution

Robert Pollin, economics and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, is interviewed about why federal stimulus funding and deficit spending are not creating inflation. He also says austerity now would weaken the already fragile economic recovery. (The Real News Network, 9/24/10)

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Pollin: “Doing something about jobs is everything”

Robert Pollin

Robert Pollin, economics and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, comments in the Huffington Post story, “20 Ways to Put America Back to Work Again.”  The story discusses why unemployment continues to be the overriding political and economic issue right now. According to Pollin, “Doing something about jobs is everything — and it should have been everything from day one.” He also says the current high level of joblessness is casting a pall on everything and is creating a “negative feedback loop” for the Obama administration and members of Congress trying to deal with the problem. (Huffington Post, 9/21/10)

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What’s the best stimulus? Pollin weighs in

Robert Pollin

Robert Pollin, economics and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute is among a group of prominent national economists asked about what will work to stimulate the U.S. economy. Pollin says the government needs to help make credit easier and more affordable for small business. (MSNBC.com, 9/8/10)

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Pollin: The return of reality-based economics

Robert Pollin

Robert Pollin, economics and co-director of the Political Economy Research Institute, writes a column about the collapse of Wall Street and what he calls the return of reality-based economics. He says history shows that unregulated free markets undergo periodic booms and busts that can be moderated by government intervention of various types. (Monthly Review, September 2010)

The Wall Street Collapse and Return of Reality-Based Economics
Robert Pollin

As with Minsky, Sweezy and Magdoff also did not develop a fully adequate framework for understanding financial bubbles and crises. There are significant holes and deficiencies in both approaches that need to be worked through by other researchers, as is true with all meaningful research programs. But this brings up a larger question: why, over the past thirty years, were something on the order of 90 percent of professional macroeconomics economists working on aspects of the Friedman/Lucas framework, while less than 1 percent was developing the Minsky/Sweezy approach? Cassidy, unfortunately, ignores this question, perhaps because the answer is obvious. Whatever its failings in terms of intellectual coherence or relevance, the Friedman/Lucas model—and neoliberalism more generally—does an outstanding job serving interests of big business and the rich, while the Minsky/Sweezy approach challenges the legitimacy of free market capitalism and its beneficiaries. This is especially true when you make the one small adjustment to the Friedman/Lucas model, which is the key innovation of neoliberalism, as opposed to classical liberalism. That is, neoliberalism is all for allowing the free market to rip, including especially on Wall Street, but also will not hesitate to embrace government bailouts when the inevitable financial crises emerge. Seen in this way, Wall Street bailouts are not only absolutely needed for keeping capitalism afloat; they are also central for maintaining the legitimacy of mainstream, pro-business economic theory.

Cassidy ends How Markets Failwith a call to arms: “Before the political will for reform dissipates, it is essential to put Wall Street in its place and to confront utopian economics with reality-based economics.” However, throughout his long, careful study, he never focuses seriously on how we might translate the insights of reality-based economics into a workable set of policies and institutions that can both rebuild stable financial systems and, more fundamentally, begin again to advance the historic project of creating sustainable democratic, egalitarian economies. This is a gap that will obviously need to be filled by a wide range of reality-based economists, alongside citizens unwilling to serve as patsies for either the grand schemes of Wall Street or the outlandish propositions of utopian economics.