Siren, A. P. K., C. S. Sutherland, A. V. Karmalkar, M. J. Duveneck, T. L. Morelli (2022). Forecasting species distributions: correlation does not equal causation. Diversity & Distributions, 00, 1– 14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13480
Karmalkar A. V. and Radley M. Horton (2021). Drivers of exceptional coastal warming in the northeastern United States. Nature Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01159-7. [Press]
Sexton, D. M., C. F. McSweeney, J. W. Rostron, K. Yamazaki, B. B. Booth, J. M. Murphy, L. Regayre, J. S. Johnson, & A. V. Karmalkar (2021). A perturbed parameter ensemble of HadGEM3-GC3. 05 coupled model projections: part 1: selecting the parameter combinations. Clim. Dyn., 56(11), 3395-3436.
Siddique, R., A. V. Karmalkar, F. Sun, & R. Palmer (2020). Hydrological extremes across the Commonwealth of Massachusetts in a changing climate. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 32, 100733.
Karmalkar A. V., J. M. Thibeault, A. M. Bryan, A. Seth (2019). Identifying credible and diverse GCMs for regional climate change studies. Case study: Northeastern United States. Climatic Change. 154: 367-386. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02411-y
Karmalkar A. V., D. M. H. Sexton, J. Murphy, B. B. B. Booth, J. Rostron, and D. McNeall (2019). Finding plausible and diverse model variants of a climate model. Part II: Development and Validation of Methodology. Clim. Dyn. 53:847-877. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04617-3
D. M. H. Sexton, A. V. Karmalkar, J. Murphy, (2019). Finding plausible and diverse model variants of a climate model. Part I: Cheap experiments to assess model performance at weather and climate timescales. Clim. Dyn. 53:989-1022. doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04625-3
C. J. Kirchhoff, J. J. Barsugli, G. L. Galford, A. V. Karmalkar, K. Lombardo, S. Stephenson, M. Barlow, A. Seth, G. Wang (2019). Climate assessments for local action. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0138.1.
Karmalkar, A. V. (2018). Interpreting results from the NARCCAP and NA-CORDEX ensembles in the context of uncertainty in regional climate change projections, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0127.1.
Karmalkar, A. V. and R. S. Bradley (2017). Consequences of Global Warming of 1.5?C and 2?C for Regional Temperature and Precipitation Changes in the Contiguous United States, PLoS ONE 12(1): e0168697. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0168697. [Press]
Bodas-Salcedo A., T. Andrews, A. V. Karmalkar, and M. A. Ringer (2016). Cloud Liquid Water Path and Radiative Feedbacks over the Southern Ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43(20).
Karmalkar, A. V., M. A. Taylor, J. Campbell, T. Stephenson, M. New, A. Centella, A. Benzanilla, J. Charlery (2013). A Review of Observed and Projected Changes in Climate for the Islands in the Caribbean (edited by H. Diaz). Atmo ?sfera, Vol 26, No 2, pp. 283-309. ISSN 0187-6236.
Karmalkar, A. V., R. S. Bradley, and H. F. Diaz (2011). Climate Change in Central America and Mexico: Regional Climate Model Validation and Climate Change Projections, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1099-9.
Buytaert, W., M. Vuille, A. Dewulf, R. Urrutia, A. V. Karmalkar, and R. Celleri (2010). Uncertainties in climate change projections and regional downscaling: implications for water resources management, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1247-1258.
Martin Medina-Elizalde, S. J. Burns, Y. Asmerom, D. W. Lea, Lucien von Gunten, V. Polyak, M. Vuille and A. V. Karmalkar (2010). High resolution climate record from the Yucatan Peninsula spanning the Maya Terminal Classic Period, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 298(1-2), 255-262.
Karmalkar, A. V., R. S. Bradley, and H. F. Diaz (2008). Climate change scenario for Costa Rican montane forests, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L11702, doi:10.1029/2008GL033940.
Other Writings
Contributed to Chapter 1 ‘Climate Change in the Northeast and Midwest US’ of Staudinger, Writings M. D., T. L. Morelli, and A. M. Bryan. (2015). Integrating Climate Change into North- east and Midwest State Wildlife Action Plans. DOI Northeast Climate Science Center Report, Amherst, Massachusetts.
Karmalkar, A. V., Sexton, D., Murphy J. (2015). Report on progress towards development of a future seamless ensemble prediction system and implications for future ‘near-term’ UK climate projections. Underpinning Deliverable U4.14, Met Office, UK.
Simpson, M. C., Clarke, J. F., Scott, D. J., New, M., Karmalkar, A., Day, O. J., Taylor, M., Gossling, S., Wilson, M., Chadee, D., Stager, H., Waithe, R., Stewart, A., Georges, J., Hutchinson, N., Fields, N., Sim, R., Rutty, M., Matthews, L., and Charles, S. (2012). CARIBSAVE Climate Change Risk Atlas (CCCRA). DFID, AusAID and The CARIBSAVE Partnership, Barbados, West Indies.